Concepts
Variance analysis is a critical financial analysis technique that a Risk Management Professional (RMP), certified by the Project Management Institute (PMI), needs to master. Especially within the domain of risk response and control, variance analysis helps identify differences between planned and actual performance. These insights are useful to determine whether risks have been appropriately addressed, and whether there’s a need for further corrective action.
Understanding Variance Analysis
Variance analysis, in essence, is a quantitative investigation of the difference between actual and planned behavior. This process often involves the investigation of individual variances to understand their cause(s), impact and handling. In the context of the PMI-RMP exam, this type of analysis can be applied to any metric. Some common ones include cost variance (CV), schedule variance (SV), or scope variance.
For the PMI-RMP examination, you should be aware of the following types of variances:
- Direct variances: These are the differences between actual and planned values.
- Volume variances: These are associated with the number of resources used or the amount of work performed.
- Efficiency variances: These relate to how efficiently the resources are used.
- Price variances: These relate to the rate or price for resources.
How to Perform Variance Analysis
Here’s a general five-step approach to perform a variance analysis:
- Establish a standard or plan: This could be the approved project plan, including scope, schedule, cost, and quality baselines.
- Measure actual performance: Measure the performance against the project plan and obtain actual data on scope, schedule, cost, and quality.
- Compare measured performance to established plans: Using the actual data, calculate the variances from the baseline data.
- Investigate variances: Determine the root cause for any significant variances.
- Take corrective action: Implement corrective or preventive actions to address the variances.
Variance Analysis Examples
Consider this example in the context of project cost management. The planned cost of a project is $100,000, and the actual cost is $110,000. The cost variance (CV) is $10,000, signifying that the project exceeded its budget. As a risk management professional, it is your responsibility to identify the cause(s) for this negative variance and apply the appropriate risk response strategy.
Another example in the context of project time management: the planned duration of a task is 5 days, and it actually took 7 days. The schedule variance (SV) is -2 days. This indicates a delay, which may have a cascading impact on the project schedule.
Importance of Variance Analysis in PMI-RMP Exam
As an aspiring PMI-RMP, understanding, performing, and interpreting variance analysis can be crucial to your success in managing project risks efficiently.
- It helps you understand what is happening in the project and why it is happening.
- It forms a strong basis for decision making. Only after proper variance analysis can effective corrective actions are taken.
- It is a valuable input for risk reassessment and risk response processes.
- The analysis provides stakeholders with a clear understanding of the project’s current status.
In conclusion, variance analysis is an essential tool for every PMI-RMP practitioner. It allows you not only to measure performance but to understand the reasons behind it, providing a foundation for managing and controlling project risks effectively. Armed with this information, you can adapt your plans and ensure that your project delivers the desired value.
Answer the Questions in Comment Section
Variance analysis involves the quantitative investigation of the difference between actual and planned behavior.
- True
- False
Answer: True
Explanation: Variance analysis is a process of measuring and explaining the difference between actual and planned behavior.
Variance analysis is not applicable for project management.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: Variance analysis is a common project management tool used to identify and manage the variance in project performance.
Variance analysis helps in identifying whether lower or higher costs than budgeted have been incurred.
- True
- False
Answer: True
Explanation: Variance analysis is used to determine variances from budgeted performance and propose corrective actions.
Maintenance costs are an example of a variable cost that is typically included in a variance analysis.
- True
- False
Answer: True
Explanation: Maintenance costs are often included in a variance analysis as they can vary depending on the level of use and other factors.
Variance analysis can detect the exact cause of a discrepancy.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: Variance analysis can identify deviations from the budgeted performance but determining the exact cause requires further analysis.
Which of the following are important components of conducting a variance analysis?
- Shipment timings
- Actual costs
- Planned costs
- Weather conditions
Answer: Actual costs, Planned costs
Explanation: Actual and planned costs are the primary components of conducting a variance analysis. Other factors can be specific to the project and its context.
Variance analysis typically includes which of the following types of variances?
- Material
- Labour
- Production
- All of the above
Answer: All of the above
Explanation: Variance analysis could include all of these variances, as it depends on the nature of the project and what it involves.
A positive variance is always a good indicator in the project.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: A positive variance may mean that a project is under-budget or ahead of schedule, but it could also indicate an oversight, missed steps or other issues.
Variance analysis only needs to be performed at the end of the project.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: Variance analysis is often performed throughout the project lifecycle to manage and control costs and schedules effectively.
Variance analysis is only useful for cost control.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: While variance analysis is often used for cost control, it’s also beneficial for scheduling, quality management, scope control, etc.
Variance analysis is a routine, non-strategic task.
- True
- False
Answer: False
Explanation: Variance analysis is a strategic task that provides critical information for decision-making and strategy development in a project.
A key benefit of variance analysis is that it assists project managers in forecasting future performance based on past results.
- True
- False
Answer: True
Explanation: By identifying the causes of past variances, project managers can make adjustments and forecasts for future project performance more accurate.
Great blog post! Variance analysis is crucial for effective risk management.
Can anyone explain how to calculate variance specifically for cost management?
Thanks for the explanations. This really helped with my PMI-RMP preparation.
I find it easier to understand variance analysis in terms of Earned Value Management (EVM).
How reliable is variance analysis in qualitative risk management?
Variance analysis has been a game-changer in my projects. Highly recommended.
Too much focus on variance analysis can lead to analysis paralysis. Be careful!
Just passed my PMI-RMP exam. This article helped a lot!